Subtropical Storm Storm Ernesto forms in Atlantic

Olive Hawkins
August 16, 2018

Tropical Storm Lane continues to strengthen as it churns westward and is expected to be a major hurricane by the time it crosses into the Central Pacific on Saturday, the National Hurricane Center said.

At 11 a.m. today, Lane was about 2,130 miles southeast of Hilo. The storm has maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour with higher gusts and is moving west at 14 miles per hour.

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Ernesto will spend the next day over marginally warm sea surface temperatures and in a low-shear environment - which will lead to some strengthening.

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And even though the forecast calls for it to fizzle, it's interesting nonetheless.

With five named storms so far in 2018, forecasters are still calling for four to eight more before the end of hurricane season.

A subtropical storm is similar to a tropical storm in that it develops over the open ocean waters and, like a tropical storm, it has winds of at least 39 miles per hour. The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to merge with a frontal zone associated with a larger extratropical cyclone over the North Atlantic in 3 to 4 days. Given the tightly packed guidance, this appears to be a high-confidence forecast.

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